← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles0.92+6.83vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+1.09vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley1.53+3.48vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.59-1.57vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii2.14-0.03vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California2.18-1.08vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-0.97vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+0.91vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Irvine1.06-1.54vs Predicted
-
10California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-4.44vs Predicted
-
11California State University Monterey Bay0.56-2.68vs Predicted
-
12California State University Monterey Bay0.56-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.83University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
-
3.09University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.2%1st Place
-
6.48University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
-
2.43Stanford University3.590.3%1st Place
-
4.97University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
-
4.92University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
-
6.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
-
8.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
-
7.46University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
5.56California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
-
8.32California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
-
8.32California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Ford | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 23.0% | 22.7% | 18.7% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 34.1% | 27.4% | 17.6% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 37.9% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 21.0% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 21.0% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.