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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.92+6.86vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.59+0.33vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.56+5.58vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-0.78vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+3.94vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.18-1.04vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.06+0.21vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.14-3.12vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-2.79vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.56-1.42vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-5.41vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.53-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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2.33Stanford University3.590.4%1st Place
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8.58California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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3.22University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.2%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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4.96University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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7.21University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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4.88University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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6.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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8.58California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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5.59California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Ford | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 37.2% | 25.6% | 17.3% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 21.9% | 27.1% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 19.0% | 23.4% | 19.6% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 39.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 8.4% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 21.9% | 27.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 7.1% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.