← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+2.58vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.74+0.15vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles0.92+4.87vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California2.18+1.06vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+1.18vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii2.36-1.40vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-1.40vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley1.53-1.73vs Predicted
-
9California State University Monterey Bay0.56-0.48vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine1.06-2.72vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-2.10vs Predicted
-
12California State University Monterey Bay0.56-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.58University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.1%1st Place
-
2.15Stanford University3.740.4%1st Place
-
7.87University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
-
5.06University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
-
6.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
-
4.6University of Hawaii2.360.1%1st Place
-
5.6California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
-
6.27University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
-
8.52California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
-
7.28University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
8.9University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
-
8.52California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Weis | 14.4% | 21.1% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 41.7% | 27.3% | 16.1% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 7.3% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 10.7% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 20.1% | 27.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 20.6% | 35.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 20.1% | 27.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.