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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.92+6.89vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.74+0.14vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.36+1.67vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.53+2.55vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-1.53vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-0.27vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-0.93vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.56+0.37vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.18-4.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-1.09vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.06-3.73vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.56-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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2.14Stanford University3.740.4%1st Place
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4.67University of Hawaii2.360.1%1st Place
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6.55University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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3.47University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.2%1st Place
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5.73California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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6.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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8.37California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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4.92University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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8.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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7.27University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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8.37California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Ford | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 41.7% | 28.2% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 17.4% | 20.8% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 19.3% | 38.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.