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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+1.32vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+1.34vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+1.97vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+1.57vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.43+0.03vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.36-1.00vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+0.92vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.14-0.34vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.72-4.79vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.09-2.13vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.14-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Stanford University3.560.4%1st Place
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3.32University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
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4.34University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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5.97California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.0%1st Place
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6.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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8.92University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.66California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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5.21University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.66California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 41.1% | 28.6% | 16.2% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 18.4% | 21.4% | 20.3% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 11.0% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 21.0% | 32.1% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 24.2% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 23.9% | 30.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 24.2% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.