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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.72+3.35vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+1.34vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.36+2.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-1.69vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.14+2.64vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-1.31vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.15vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+0.04vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-3.56vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.14-2.36vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.09-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Stanford University3.560.4%1st Place
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5.35University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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4.34University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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6.27University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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3.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
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8.64California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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5.69California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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5.85University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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9.04University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
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8.64California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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8.93University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 41.3% | 27.1% | 17.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 10.2% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 19.5% | 20.3% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 24.1% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 23.6% | 34.9% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 24.1% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 25.1% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.