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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+1.33vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+3.69vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.36+2.24vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.28-0.80vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.72-0.56vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.14+1.45vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-2.28vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.09+0.04vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.43-4.12vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.14-2.55vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Stanford University3.560.4%1st Place
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3.33University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
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6.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
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6.24University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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4.2University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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8.45California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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5.72California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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9.04University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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8.45California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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8.89University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 40.8% | 28.3% | 16.3% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 18.1% | 21.8% | 19.5% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 12.3% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 5.9% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 23.0% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 14.5% | 22.1% | 35.7% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 23.0% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 22.1% | 31.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.