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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.21vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.58+8.80vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10+5.65vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.98+4.85vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.38+3.33vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.60+0.90vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.73-0.54vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.15-3.12vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.59+2.51vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.68-3.15vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.22-3.40vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10+3.03vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.39-3.40vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.20-5.53vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.64-4.87vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.02-1.61vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-7.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Yale University2.7313.0%1st Place
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10.8University of Pennsylvania1.582.2%1st Place
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8.65Jacksonville University2.105.5%1st Place
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8.85Fordham University1.984.2%1st Place
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8.33Bowdoin College2.385.1%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Naval Academy2.608.0%1st Place
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6.46Brown University2.739.8%1st Place
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4.88Stanford University3.1516.1%1st Place
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11.51Northeastern University1.591.8%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University2.688.6%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University2.226.8%1st Place
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15.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.100.7%1st Place
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9.6Boston University1.393.6%1st Place
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8.47Boston College2.205.5%1st Place
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10.13University of Michigan1.644.0%1st Place
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14.39SUNY Maritime College-0.020.7%1st Place
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9.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.774.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 3.7% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Smith | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 16.1% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 6.5% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 19.8% | 49.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Braden Vogel | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 26.6% | 33.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.