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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+2.42vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.56+0.12vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+3.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.43+2.09vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.28-0.80vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.36+0.17vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.14+1.43vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.75-2.86vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.09+0.06vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.14-1.57vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-5.22vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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2.12Stanford University3.560.4%1st Place
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6.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
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4.2University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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6.17University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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8.43California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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5.14University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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9.06University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.43California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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5.78California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Henken | 16.6% | 20.3% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Romain Screve | 43.1% | 26.4% | 16.1% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 11.4% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 23.0% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 7.5% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 14.8% | 22.1% | 35.8% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 23.0% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 22.7% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.