← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.56+1.13vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley1.36+4.13vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+0.48vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.43+2.12vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California1.75+0.24vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+0.61vs Predicted
-
7California State University Monterey Bay0.14+1.45vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine-0.09+0.95vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+0.07vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii2.28-5.89vs Predicted
-
11California State University Monterey Bay0.14-2.55vs Predicted
-
12California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-6.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.13Stanford University3.560.4%1st Place
-
6.13University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
-
3.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
-
6.12University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
-
5.24University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
-
6.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
-
8.45California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
-
8.95University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
-
9.07University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
-
4.11University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
-
8.45California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
-
5.7California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 41.9% | 26.1% | 16.4% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 16.0% | 19.8% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 22.4% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 21.0% | 32.5% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 23.8% | 35.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 12.5% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 22.4% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.