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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.36+4.03vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+3.58vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.17-1.48vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-0.09+3.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.43-0.15vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-1.43vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.14+0.48vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.72-3.70vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.14-1.52vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.15vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.88-7.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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6.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
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2.52Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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8.91University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.85University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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5.57California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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8.48California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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5.3University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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8.48California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.7University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Henken | 21.1% | 21.6% | 18.7% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 33.1% | 26.1% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 21.1% | 33.7% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 17.3% | 20.6% | 24.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 17.3% | 20.6% | 24.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 23.5% | 31.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.