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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+2.23vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.17+0.46vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+3.59vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.43+1.96vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.36+0.98vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.14+2.58vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.72-1.95vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+0.81vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.09-0.01vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.14-1.42vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-5.36vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.88-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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2.46Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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6.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
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5.96University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
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5.98University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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8.58California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.99University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.58California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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5.64California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Henken | 20.5% | 21.2% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 34.8% | 24.2% | 18.9% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 23.1% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 21.6% | 30.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 21.4% | 35.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 23.1% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 9.7% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.