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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+1.29vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.75+2.42vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+2.03vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.36+1.10vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.43+0.02vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-0.09+1.84vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-1.53vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.28-4.73vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-1.02vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.14-2.54vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.14-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Stanford University3.560.4%1st Place
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3.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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5.42University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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6.03California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.0%1st Place
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6.1University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
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8.84University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
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4.27University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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8.98University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.46California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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8.46California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 42.0% | 26.5% | 17.2% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 18.4% | 22.3% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 22.4% | 31.9% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 4.3% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 10.7% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 14.3% | 22.9% | 34.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 22.9% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 22.9% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.