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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.43+3.95vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+0.44vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.75+1.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.36+1.13vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+0.59vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.28-2.99vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.09+0.98vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-3.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-1.03vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.14-2.53vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.14-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Stanford University3.560.4%1st Place
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5.95University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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3.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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5.4University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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6.13University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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6.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
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4.01University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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8.98University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.94California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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8.97University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.47California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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8.47California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 42.4% | 25.8% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 16.0% | 22.5% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 13.2% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 23.1% | 32.4% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 5.2% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 20.2% | 36.3% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 18.3% | 23.3% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 18.3% | 23.3% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.