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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.36+5.16vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+4.54vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+0.36vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.56-1.88vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+0.74vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.43-0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.75-1.98vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.88-3.19vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.090.00vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.14-1.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.14vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.14-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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6.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
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3.36University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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2.12Stanford University3.560.4%1st Place
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5.74California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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5.92University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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4.81University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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9.0University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.47California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.47California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Dorsay | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 17.9% | 20.6% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Romain Screve | 41.3% | 29.4% | 15.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 8.0% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 22.9% | 35.1% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 21.7% | 24.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 22.3% | 31.1% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 21.7% | 24.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.