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📊 Prediction Accuracy
8.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.88+3.93vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+4.48vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.43+3.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.36+2.24vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.14+3.51vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.56-3.93vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.14+1.51vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-4.84vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-3.41vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.75-4.76vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.11vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.09-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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6.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Los Angeles1.430.0%1st Place
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6.24University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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8.51California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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2.07Stanford University3.560.4%1st Place
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8.51California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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3.16University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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5.59California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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8.89University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 6.4% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 22.3% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Romain Screve | 44.2% | 26.5% | 15.8% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 22.3% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 21.6% | 24.0% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 5.6% | 5.8% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 21.9% | 33.4% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 24.1% | 30.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.