← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania3.63+2.38vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.48+4.27vs Predicted
-
3University of Virginia3.54+0.54vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University2.73+1.63vs Predicted
-
6Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-0.29vs Predicted
-
7American University2.24+0.13vs Predicted
-
8Columbia University2.13-0.61vs Predicted
-
9Rochester Institute of Technology1.85-0.72vs Predicted
-
10Queen's University1.77-1.50vs Predicted
-
12William and Mary2.13-4.46vs Predicted
-
13Princeton University1.74-4.38vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University1.30-3.91vs Predicted
-
15Colgate University-0.28-1.69vs Predicted
-
17Monmouth University0.98-6.30vs Predicted
-
18St. John's College-0.84-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.38University of Pennsylvania3.630.2%1st Place
-
6.27Cornell University2.480.1%1st Place
-
3.54University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
-
5.63Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
-
5.71Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.13American University2.240.1%1st Place
-
7.39Columbia University2.130.1%1st Place
-
8.28Rochester Institute of Technology1.850.0%1st Place
-
8.5Queen's University1.770.0%1st Place
-
7.54William and Mary2.130.0%1st Place
-
8.62Princeton University1.740.0%1st Place
-
10.09George Washington University1.300.0%1st Place
-
13.31Colgate University-0.280.0%1st Place
-
10.7Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
-
13.92St. John's College-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halsey Richartz | 23.6% | 22.4% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 22.1% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| David Coplon | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Geoff Williams | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Isaac Clark | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| John Marzulli | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Koeniger | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 18.3% | 10.7% | 1.3% |
| Chloe Smith | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 11.0% | 36.9% | 33.0% |
| Paul Luisi | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 21.3% | 13.0% | 4.8% |
| Luke Wakeen | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 23.1% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.