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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.38+7.36vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+5.81vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+2.17vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.73+2.55vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.15-0.10vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.10+2.71vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.98+1.89vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68-1.36vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.58+1.66vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.59+1.57vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.60-4.10vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.20-3.60vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-3.59vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.64-4.05vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.39-5.49vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-0.92vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.36Bowdoin College2.385.9%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University2.226.3%1st Place
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5.17Yale University2.7313.9%1st Place
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6.55Brown University2.739.5%1st Place
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4.9Stanford University3.1513.2%1st Place
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8.71Jacksonville University2.105.1%1st Place
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8.89Fordham University1.984.2%1st Place
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6.64Roger Williams University2.688.2%1st Place
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10.66University of Pennsylvania1.582.7%1st Place
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11.57Northeastern University1.592.6%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Naval Academy2.608.1%1st Place
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8.4Boston College2.205.7%1st Place
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9.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.775.1%1st Place
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9.95University of Michigan1.643.9%1st Place
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9.51Boston University1.394.2%1st Place
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15.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.100.5%1st Place
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14.49SUNY Maritime College-0.020.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.2% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 4.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 7.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Braden Vogel | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Katherine Mason | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 21.9% | 46.5% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 25.8% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.