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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.50+6.27vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+7.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+4.71vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.48vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.41+2.36vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-0.95vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+2.16vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.56vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.81-3.14vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.25-1.66vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.80-1.06vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.16-3.29vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.65+0.86vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-0.63vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia2.12-2.56vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.14-7.48vs Predicted
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17Villanova University1.57-2.61vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.96-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.14Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.36George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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5.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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10.56SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
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5.86Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.34SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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9.94University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.71Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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13.86Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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13.37Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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12.44University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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8.52Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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14.39Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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12.84Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Sean Segerblom | 10.4% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Adam DeVita | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 22.9% |
| Matthew Roleke | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 15.5% |
| Colin Suvak | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Max Gillette | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 17.8% | 28.0% |
| Vir Menon | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.