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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.84vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+3.19vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+6.17vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.25+3.94vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.48vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.14+2.47vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+6.62vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.16+0.33vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.80+0.85vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.81-3.83vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.50-3.77vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia2.12+0.68vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-3.95vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.96-1.33vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.36vs Predicted
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16Villanova University1.57-1.64vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.65-2.89vs Predicted
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18George Washington University3.41-10.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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5.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.17Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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7.94SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.47Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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13.62Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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8.33Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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6.17Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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7.23Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.68University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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9.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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12.67Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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10.64SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
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14.36Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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14.11Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.21George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 9.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Roleke | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 17.5% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Sean Segerblom | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Colin Suvak | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 10.9% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Vir Menon | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 11.4% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Max Gillette | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 27.2% |
| Adam DeVita | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 24.2% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.