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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+6.57vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+4.62vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+5.97vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.50+2.83vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.41+2.21vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.25+1.92vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.16+1.23vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-3.10vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.80+0.61vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.14-1.47vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.81-5.03vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-2.68vs Predicted
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13Villanova University1.57+0.82vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.71+1.89vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.65vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-2.55vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.65-3.18vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia2.12-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.97Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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6.83Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.21George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.92SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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8.23Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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4.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.53Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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5.97Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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13.82Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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15.89Christopher Newport University0.710.0%1st Place
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10.35SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
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13.45Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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13.82Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 14.7% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.1% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Levie | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 19.0% | 16.2% |
| Bailey Hurst | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 49.3% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Roleke | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 10.8% |
| Adam DeVita | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 21.1% | 14.7% |
| Colin Suvak | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.