← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University3.50+6.33vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University3.16+6.68vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.80+7.04vs Predicted
-
4University of Virginia2.12+8.27vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook2.59+5.50vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University3.41+1.38vs Predicted
-
7Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+6.57vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy3.63-1.47vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University3.14-0.60vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-2.21vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College3.25-2.83vs Predicted
-
12Villanova University1.57+2.44vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University3.81-7.14vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-9.07vs Predicted
-
15Hampton University3.02-6.16vs Predicted
-
16Columbia University1.65-1.90vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University1.96-3.91vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-8.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.33Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
8.68Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
-
10.04University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
-
12.27University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
-
10.5SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
-
7.38George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
13.57Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
-
6.53U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
8.4Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
7.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
8.17SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
-
14.44Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
-
5.86Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
-
4.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.2%1st Place
-
8.84Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
-
14.1Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
-
13.09Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
-
9.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Colin Suvak | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Roleke | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 18.3% | 17.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Max Gillette | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 27.7% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 16.1% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Adam DeVita | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 23.6% |
| Vir Menon | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 12.9% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.