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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+8.40vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.69vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.18vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.41+3.35vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.25+2.96vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.50+1.10vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.80+2.86vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.14+0.34vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.63-2.52vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.16-1.30vs Predicted
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11Hampton University3.02-1.92vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.81-5.79vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook2.59-2.46vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia2.12-1.82vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.65-0.99vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-2.26vs Predicted
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17Villanova University1.57-2.64vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.96-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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7.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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5.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.35George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.96SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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7.1Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.34Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.7Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.08Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.21Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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10.54SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
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12.18University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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14.01Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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13.74Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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14.36Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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12.83Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmund Cooper | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Colin Suvak | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.8% |
| Adam DeVita | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 23.5% |
| Matthew Roleke | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 20.4% |
| Andrew Levie | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 18.6% | 27.0% |
| Vir Menon | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.