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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+8.13vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+7.42vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50+4.25vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.81+1.89vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia2.12+7.36vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.63+0.60vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+0.49vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.25-0.09vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.67vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.80+0.15vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.96+2.10vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.41-4.34vs Predicted
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13Villanova University1.57+1.10vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-0.63vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.65-1.04vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.16-7.51vs Predicted
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17Cornell University3.14-8.43vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-13.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.13Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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7.25Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.89Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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12.36University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.91SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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10.67SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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13.1Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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7.66George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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14.1Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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13.37Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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13.96Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.49Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.57Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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4.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Edmund Cooper | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Colin Suvak | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Vir Menon | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 14.5% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Max Gillette | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 24.7% |
| Matthew Roleke | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 18.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 22.1% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 15.1% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.