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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.25+7.09vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.81+3.91vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia2.12+9.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.36vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.16+3.16vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+3.01vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.41+0.26vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-3.08vs Predicted
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9Hampton University3.02-0.27vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-2.40vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.41vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.43-0.55vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.80-3.50vs Predicted
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14Villanova University1.57-0.22vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.50-8.14vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.96-3.10vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-3.37vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.65-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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5.91Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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12.56University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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6.36U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.16Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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7.26George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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4.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.2%1st Place
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8.73Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.59SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
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11.45Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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13.78Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.86Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.9Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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13.63Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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13.69Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hill | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Sean Segerblom | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Colin Suvak | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 15.1% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 5.5% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Max Gillette | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 23.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Vir Menon | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 12.3% |
| Matthew Roleke | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 19.6% |
| Adam DeVita | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.