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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+4.99vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+6.95vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.10vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.41+3.17vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+3.95vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.43vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.50-0.08vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.14+0.17vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.16-0.83vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.87+3.25vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia2.12+1.31vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-5.32vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.96-0.41vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.25-6.39vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.61vs Predicted
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16Villanova University1.57-1.89vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-3.41vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.65-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.95Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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5.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.17George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.92Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.17Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.17Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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13.25University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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6.68U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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12.59Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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7.61SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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10.39SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
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14.11Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
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13.59Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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13.61Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 13.8% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 14.1% |
| Colin Suvak | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.7% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Vir Menon | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Max Gillette | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 23.4% |
| Matthew Roleke | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 18.6% |
| Adam DeVita | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.