← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+8.19vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.81+3.94vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University3.16+5.44vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University3.41+3.20vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College3.25+2.80vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University3.14+2.26vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy3.63-0.58vs Predicted
-
8Hampton University3.02+0.67vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University3.50-2.17vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-4.91vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University1.96+1.89vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-4.38vs Predicted
-
13University of Virginia2.12-0.94vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Stony Brook2.59-3.83vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania1.87-1.90vs Predicted
-
16Columbia University1.65-2.13vs Predicted
-
17Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-3.43vs Predicted
-
18Villanova University1.57-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
-
5.94Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
-
8.44Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
-
7.2George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
7.8SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
-
8.26Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
6.42U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
8.67Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
-
6.83Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
5.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
12.89Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
-
7.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
12.06University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
-
10.17SUNY Stony Brook2.590.0%1st Place
-
13.1University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
-
13.87Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
-
13.57Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
-
13.89Villanova University1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmund Cooper | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Sean Segerblom | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 14.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Colin Suvak | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 8.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Keen Butcher | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 13.6% |
| Adam DeVita | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 20.2% |
| Matthew Roleke | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 18.5% |
| Max Gillette | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.