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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.72+6.95vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+3.64vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+2.56vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.95+2.86vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.86+5.76vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-1.42vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.54+1.41vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.89-0.95vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-0.83vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook1.41+2.58vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.22-4.82vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.52+0.37vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.89-2.37vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.69-6.35vs Predicted
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15Villanova University0.26+0.61vs Predicted
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16Hampton University1.08-2.42vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.82-2.70vs Predicted
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18Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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5.64Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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6.86Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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10.76University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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4.58St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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8.41Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.05Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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12.58SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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6.18U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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12.37Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.63Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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7.65SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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15.61Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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13.58Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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14.3University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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13.12Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| William Logue | 8.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tanner Probst | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Bradley Adam | 16.0% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Jack Elkin | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hunter | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 6.5% |
| Peter Hogan | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 5.2% |
| Spencer Charney | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Kyle Comerford | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 19.0% | 40.6% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 13.8% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 19.9% | 19.6% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.