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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lorenzo Puertas 46.2% 27.6% 15.5% 7.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Rodenroth 17.3% 21.6% 20.6% 17.3% 11.7% 6.7% 3.1% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Casey Dietsch 5.7% 7.8% 10.2% 12.9% 13.5% 16.1% 17.7% 12.8% 2.9% 0.6%
Alex Cross 6.5% 8.1% 10.3% 13.3% 15.6% 18.3% 14.8% 10.2% 2.7% 0.2%
Marco Constantini 10.2% 15.8% 17.2% 18.9% 14.8% 12.0% 7.3% 3.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Ella Beck 6.2% 8.6% 12.2% 13.2% 16.7% 17.1% 14.7% 9.2% 1.8% 0.1%
Josh Hacker 4.3% 5.8% 8.0% 8.2% 12.5% 14.3% 18.7% 20.6% 6.8% 0.8%
Reed Rossell 3.0% 4.0% 4.3% 6.7% 10.3% 11.7% 18.0% 28.8% 11.8% 1.3%
Cooper Avery 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 1.8% 1.6% 3.3% 8.0% 44.8% 37.8%
Piper Luke 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 2.2% 5.5% 28.8% 59.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.