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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.88+0.95vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.97+1.25vs Predicted
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3Unknown School-0.22+2.25vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.30+1.07vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-0.15-1.03vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.02-1.06vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.62-1.14vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-0.91-1.51vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-2.87-0.06vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-3.37-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95University of Michigan1.8846.2%1st Place
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3.25Michigan Technological University0.9717.3%1st Place
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5.25Unknown School-0.225.7%1st Place
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5.07Michigan Technological University-0.306.5%1st Place
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3.97Northern Michigan University-0.1510.2%1st Place
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4.94Michigan State University0.026.2%1st Place
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5.86Unknown School-0.624.3%1st Place
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6.49Grand Valley State University-0.913.0%1st Place
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8.94University of Toledo-2.870.2%1st Place
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9.29Saginaw Valley State University-3.370.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lorenzo Puertas | 46.2% | 27.6% | 15.5% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Lucas Rodenroth | 17.3% | 21.6% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Casey Dietsch | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
Alex Cross | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
Marco Constantini | 10.2% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Ella Beck | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
Josh Hacker | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 18.7% | 20.6% | 6.8% | 0.8% |
Reed Rossell | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 28.8% | 11.8% | 1.3% |
Cooper Avery | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 8.0% | 44.8% | 37.8% |
Piper Luke | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 28.8% | 59.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.