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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+4.69vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+2.69vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.95+4.03vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.72+3.64vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.89+2.04vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.52+6.05vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.69+0.86vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-2.66vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.92vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.08+3.61vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.89-0.14vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.54-3.35vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+1.34vs Predicted
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14Villanova University0.26+1.43vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.86-4.21vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook1.41-3.54vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-10.62vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia0.82-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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4.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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7.03Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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7.64George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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7.04Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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12.05Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.86SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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5.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.08U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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13.61Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.86Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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8.65Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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14.34Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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15.43Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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12.46SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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14.05University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 14.2% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Kyle Comerford | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Brill | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 12.5% |
| Spencer Charney | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Connor Kelter | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Townsend Morey | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 19.6% |
| Curtis Aaron | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 38.6% |
| Tanner Probst | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 5.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.