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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.54+7.87vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.95+5.33vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.89+4.52vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+0.69vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.63vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.08+7.62vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+7.50vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.69-0.08vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.12-2.52vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.22-3.60vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.39-5.24vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.72-3.68vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.89-2.16vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.82+0.11vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook1.41-2.35vs Predicted
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16Villanova University0.26-0.33vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.52-4.59vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-9.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.87Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.33Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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7.52Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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4.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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5.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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13.62Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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14.5Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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7.92SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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6.4U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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5.76Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.32George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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10.84Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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14.11University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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12.65SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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15.67Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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12.41Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Kelter | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 16.4% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 11.4% |
| Townsend Morey | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 17.1% | 20.2% | 19.3% |
| Kyle Comerford | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Charney | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 16.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 5.6% |
| Curtis Aaron | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 40.5% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 5.4% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.