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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+3.84vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.54+6.83vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.95+4.24vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+9.15vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.52+7.04vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+2.39vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.89+3.92vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook1.41+4.43vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.72-1.09vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.69-1.75vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.22-4.77vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-6.09vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.89-5.86vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.06-7.51vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania3.12-8.55vs Predicted
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16Hampton University1.08-2.38vs Predicted
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17Villanova University0.11-1.06vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia0.34-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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8.83Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.24Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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13.15Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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12.04Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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10.92Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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12.43SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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7.91George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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8.25SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.23U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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5.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.14Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.49Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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13.62Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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15.94Villanova University0.110.0%1st Place
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15.23University of Virginia0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Adam | 14.3% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 7.8% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Hunter | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Charney | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 4.1% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Hector Guzman | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Roger Dorr | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 10.4% |
| Brian Tiernan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 19.4% | 43.6% |
| Ian Palmer | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 22.7% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.