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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.89+6.24vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.69+5.95vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.89+7.88vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+0.54vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.54+3.24vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.57vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+1.14vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.39-2.62vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.86+1.78vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.95-2.93vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+2.17vs Predicted
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12Hampton University1.08+1.63vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.22-7.13vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.52-2.32vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.72-7.37vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook1.41-3.60vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.34-1.65vs Predicted
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18Villanova University0.11-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.95SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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10.88Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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4.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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8.24Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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5.38Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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7.07Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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13.17Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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13.63Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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11.68Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.63George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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12.4SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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15.35University of Virginia0.340.0%1st Place
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15.62Villanova University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Bradley Adam | 17.9% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Hector Guzman | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Logue | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Probst | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 8.1% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 10.4% |
| Peter Hogan | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 4.3% |
| Ian Palmer | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 21.7% | 32.5% |
| Brian Tiernan | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 20.3% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.