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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.89+6.44vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.95+5.24vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+1.80vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.52vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+8.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.22+0.07vs Predicted
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7Hampton University1.08+6.60vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.54+0.45vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.72-1.16vs Predicted
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10Villanova University0.26+5.79vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.99vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.89-0.75vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.52-0.88vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.69-6.20vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.82-0.72vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook1.41-3.34vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-8.53vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.39-12.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.24Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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4.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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5.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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13.25Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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6.07U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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13.6Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.45Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.84George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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15.79Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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9.01University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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11.25Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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12.12Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.8SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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14.28University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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12.66SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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5.41Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 14.7% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 11.2% |
| Peter Hogan | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 13.4% |
| Connor Kelter | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Curtis Aaron | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 17.7% | 43.8% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.5% |
| Kyle Comerford | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 20.1% | 17.2% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 6.1% |
| Ryan Hunter | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 11.6% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.