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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.89+6.54vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.22+4.35vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.54+5.79vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+9.17vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.08+8.46vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.39-0.42vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.95+0.09vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-3.26vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.69-0.98vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.89+1.16vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-4.52vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.72-3.79vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.44-4.14vs Predicted
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14Villanova University0.26+1.44vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.82-0.76vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.52-3.70vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.90-2.86vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-12.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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8.79Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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13.17Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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13.46Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.58Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.09Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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4.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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8.02SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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11.16Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.21George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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15.44Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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14.24University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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12.3Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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14.14SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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5.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Hogan | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 10.3% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 11.3% |
| William Logue | 11.3% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 16.3% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Curtis Aaron | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 37.8% |
| Katie Purcell | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 16.6% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 4.4% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 1.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 16.6% |
| Hector Guzman | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.