Race 1A

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
August Sturm 20.3% 18.9% 14.2% 15.6% 9.9% 9.7% 7.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.3%
Ryan Clulo 7.4% 7.1% 8.2% 10.1% 11.4% 15.3% 16.2% 13.9% 7.7% 2.7%
Charles Bocklet 18.1% 17.0% 16.0% 15.3% 11.7% 11.3% 6.6% 3.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Carl Eaton 10.2% 12.0% 12.6% 14.5% 14.3% 12.0% 12.7% 6.8% 4.0% 0.9%
Mark Davies 18.0% 14.5% 15.6% 14.5% 14.4% 9.8% 8.1% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen 1.8% 2.0% 2.5% 1.7% 3.6% 4.5% 6.9% 14.2% 24.7% 38.1%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 2.0% 2.5% 3.5% 3.7% 7.3% 6.7% 10.3% 23.2% 26.0% 14.8%
John Lowry 1.5% 1.2% 2.3% 2.2% 3.4% 5.2% 6.7% 13.3% 24.7% 39.5%
Elliot Lee 6.5% 7.9% 7.7% 9.0% 11.4% 14.3% 16.9% 15.3% 8.2% 2.8%
Christian Cyrul 14.2% 16.9% 17.4% 13.4% 12.6% 11.2% 8.6% 3.8% 1.4% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.