Race 2A

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
August Sturm 19.6% 17.8% 17.2% 14.7% 10.5% 9.7% 6.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
Christian Cyrul 15.1% 14.4% 16.2% 14.3% 14.2% 11.5% 8.2% 3.9% 2.1% 0.1%
Charles Bocklet 18.4% 18.1% 15.1% 14.5% 13.2% 10.2% 7.0% 3.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Mark Davies 15.6% 16.8% 15.7% 14.7% 13.7% 10.5% 7.9% 3.9% 0.9% 0.3%
Ryan Clulo 7.8% 8.7% 6.7% 10.6% 11.6% 14.3% 15.7% 14.8% 7.5% 2.3%
Carl Eaton 12.4% 11.6% 11.9% 12.8% 13.9% 13.6% 11.5% 8.3% 3.5% 0.5%
John Lowry 1.4% 1.0% 1.6% 2.3% 3.3% 3.0% 6.7% 13.7% 27.6% 39.4%
Elliot Lee 5.8% 7.7% 9.6% 8.8% 10.9% 14.4% 17.2% 15.2% 7.8% 2.6%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 2.5% 2.4% 4.3% 4.0% 5.2% 8.2% 12.9% 20.1% 24.6% 15.8%
Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 3.3% 3.5% 4.6% 6.6% 14.3% 24.4% 38.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.