Race 3A

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christian Cyrul 15.4% 17.4% 14.3% 12.7% 15.9% 10.7% 7.0% 4.0% 2.2% 0.4%
John Lowry 1.8% 1.5% 2.9% 2.3% 2.9% 4.2% 5.4% 13.4% 26.0% 39.6%
Elliot Lee 7.0% 7.4% 7.1% 7.6% 10.5% 15.2% 17.3% 16.1% 8.6% 3.2%
August Sturm 18.1% 18.0% 16.5% 16.0% 11.8% 9.9% 6.1% 3.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen 1.6% 2.1% 2.4% 2.6% 4.5% 4.8% 6.9% 13.4% 24.7% 37.0%
Mark Davies 17.6% 13.6% 16.6% 14.8% 12.6% 10.0% 7.8% 4.8% 1.9% 0.3%
Charles Bocklet 18.2% 17.1% 16.5% 17.1% 11.2% 9.8% 6.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.4%
Carl Eaton 10.8% 12.6% 11.9% 12.2% 14.5% 13.9% 12.2% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9%
Ryan Clulo 7.1% 7.0% 8.7% 10.3% 11.1% 13.5% 16.9% 15.7% 7.6% 2.1%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 2.4% 3.3% 3.1% 4.4% 5.0% 8.0% 14.4% 18.7% 24.6% 16.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.