Race 4A

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christian Cyrul 17.2% 16.6% 15.2% 12.1% 12.9% 11.1% 7.8% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4%
Charles Bocklet 19.4% 17.8% 13.4% 15.5% 13.5% 10.5% 5.2% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
Ryan Clulo 6.5% 6.8% 8.1% 10.7% 10.6% 12.8% 19.3% 14.6% 8.2% 2.4%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 2.1% 2.2% 3.6% 4.7% 6.4% 7.5% 11.4% 22.1% 24.9% 15.1%
Carl Eaton 12.0% 10.9% 12.5% 13.9% 13.1% 14.0% 12.5% 6.8% 3.4% 0.9%
Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen 1.8% 1.6% 2.4% 2.7% 4.0% 4.4% 6.7% 12.2% 28.0% 36.2%
Mark Davies 15.4% 16.0% 17.0% 15.0% 12.7% 11.6% 7.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
Elliot Lee 6.2% 7.7% 9.3% 9.0% 11.0% 14.8% 16.0% 14.4% 8.1% 3.5%
John Lowry 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 2.6% 3.4% 3.9% 6.4% 15.1% 23.1% 40.5%
August Sturm 17.8% 18.7% 16.8% 13.8% 12.4% 9.4% 7.0% 3.5% 0.3% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.