Race 5A

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mark Davies 17.4% 16.8% 14.6% 13.9% 13.4% 9.4% 8.4% 4.1% 1.8% 0.2%
August Sturm 18.0% 18.8% 15.8% 15.5% 11.6% 9.7% 6.1% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Charles Bocklet 18.9% 15.4% 16.2% 15.4% 13.3% 10.4% 6.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Carl Eaton 9.9% 12.5% 12.6% 13.2% 14.0% 14.1% 12.2% 7.5% 3.3% 0.7%
Elliot Lee 7.1% 8.0% 8.1% 8.4% 11.1% 13.2% 17.2% 14.5% 10.5% 1.9%
Christian Cyrul 18.2% 14.1% 15.3% 14.4% 13.0% 11.2% 7.7% 5.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Ryan Clulo 5.3% 8.2% 9.2% 9.6% 12.2% 15.6% 16.5% 13.4% 7.7% 2.3%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 2.6% 3.0% 4.1% 4.3% 5.3% 8.1% 11.7% 21.0% 23.0% 16.9%
John Lowry 1.3% 1.4% 2.3% 2.1% 2.8% 4.9% 6.1% 13.3% 27.2% 38.6%
Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen 1.3% 1.8% 1.8% 3.2% 3.3% 3.4% 7.6% 14.6% 23.8% 39.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.