Race 6A

mcsa-coed

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
August Sturm 19.2% 19.4% 15.7% 13.7% 12.3% 8.3% 6.4% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Carl Eaton 11.0% 10.5% 13.5% 13.0% 12.8% 14.6% 11.1% 9.2% 3.5% 0.8%
Christian Cyrul 15.9% 15.1% 14.0% 14.7% 14.2% 12.0% 8.4% 4.3% 1.1% 0.3%
Charles Bocklet 18.1% 17.3% 17.2% 15.4% 12.2% 9.3% 7.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Ryan Clulo 7.5% 8.1% 8.2% 9.5% 11.5% 13.6% 16.4% 14.5% 9.0% 1.7%
Mark Davies 17.8% 15.4% 16.3% 14.2% 13.1% 10.0% 7.6% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Elliot Lee 5.3% 8.0% 8.2% 9.5% 12.3% 14.3% 16.7% 15.1% 8.4% 2.2%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 2.5% 3.2% 4.1% 3.8% 5.7% 8.6% 11.9% 20.3% 23.0% 16.9%
John Lowry 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 2.2% 3.5% 4.7% 6.1% 12.2% 28.4% 38.4%
Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen 1.4% 1.6% 1.0% 4.0% 2.4% 4.6% 8.2% 13.4% 24.1% 39.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.