Race 8A

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mark Davies 17.6% 17.7% 14.5% 12.5% 12.8% 11.1% 8.1% 3.9% 1.7% 0.1%
August Sturm 18.8% 17.5% 16.4% 15.0% 12.3% 10.3% 5.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Carl Eaton 11.6% 10.4% 11.7% 11.1% 16.0% 15.2% 12.2% 8.0% 3.3% 0.5%
Elliot Lee 5.6% 6.5% 10.2% 9.7% 11.4% 13.4% 17.6% 13.3% 9.5% 2.8%
Christian Cyrul 15.3% 16.2% 15.5% 16.4% 12.9% 9.4% 7.1% 5.2% 1.7% 0.3%
Charles Bocklet 20.3% 18.2% 13.9% 16.6% 11.1% 9.6% 6.2% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Ryan Clulo 5.3% 8.1% 9.1% 9.7% 11.8% 14.7% 17.5% 14.1% 7.7% 2.0%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 2.7% 2.9% 4.0% 3.9% 6.0% 7.7% 12.4% 20.8% 22.2% 17.4%
Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen 1.4% 1.5% 2.3% 2.1% 3.2% 4.7% 6.5% 14.7% 26.7% 36.9%
John Lowry 1.4% 1.0% 2.4% 3.0% 2.5% 3.9% 6.9% 13.5% 25.5% 39.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.