Race 9A

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charles Bocklet 19.9% 19.0% 15.1% 13.4% 12.1% 9.4% 6.7% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Mark Davies 15.6% 15.9% 16.4% 14.4% 13.3% 10.2% 8.1% 4.7% 1.4% 0.0%
August Sturm 19.1% 16.4% 16.5% 13.7% 14.6% 9.8% 5.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.0%
Elliot Lee 5.5% 7.6% 8.9% 9.8% 11.1% 14.6% 16.6% 13.8% 9.3% 2.8%
Carl Eaton 11.5% 11.5% 11.5% 12.8% 14.1% 14.4% 12.3% 7.3% 3.6% 1.0%
Christian Cyrul 17.6% 15.4% 14.5% 15.2% 13.3% 9.5% 8.6% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Ryan Clulo 5.3% 8.4% 9.1% 10.9% 10.7% 15.3% 16.1% 14.1% 8.1% 2.0%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 2.6% 2.8% 4.3% 4.2% 5.6% 8.1% 11.7% 20.9% 22.5% 17.3%
Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen 1.4% 1.7% 2.1% 2.2% 2.7% 5.1% 6.1% 15.1% 26.7% 36.9%
John Lowry 1.5% 1.3% 1.6% 3.4% 2.5% 3.6% 8.0% 12.9% 25.4% 39.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.