Race 10A

mcsa-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
August Sturm 16.6% 17.7% 16.6% 14.7% 13.8% 9.6% 6.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Mark Davies 16.2% 17.4% 13.6% 13.7% 13.8% 10.3% 8.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Charles Bocklet 16.7% 16.4% 15.9% 15.1% 12.8% 9.3% 8.3% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Carl Eaton 10.9% 10.3% 10.7% 12.9% 13.1% 13.8% 11.9% 9.4% 4.4% 2.2% 0.4%
Christian Cyrul 17.5% 14.9% 15.2% 12.4% 12.0% 10.3% 9.3% 5.0% 2.9% 0.3% 0.2%
John Lowry 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 2.9% 2.3% 3.9% 5.7% 11.4% 15.4% 23.0% 31.3%
Elliot Lee 8.0% 7.9% 7.5% 9.4% 10.3% 12.6% 15.2% 14.6% 8.7% 4.7% 1.1%
Ryan Clulo 7.3% 8.3% 9.3% 9.7% 10.6% 14.2% 12.2% 12.0% 10.6% 5.1% 0.7%
Harry Whittenburg-Nelsen 1.6% 1.9% 2.0% 2.1% 2.9% 4.0% 5.9% 9.3% 17.3% 23.3% 29.7%
Ryan Singler 1.8% 1.2% 2.3% 2.3% 3.1% 3.6% 7.2% 11.1% 16.7% 22.7% 28.0%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 2.5% 2.6% 5.1% 4.8% 5.3% 8.4% 10.1% 15.7% 19.5% 17.5% 8.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.