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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+1.60vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.93+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.40-0.06vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University1.18-0.74vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-0.09+0.52vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.84-2.03vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.45-2.28vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota0.34-3.09vs Predicted
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10University of Iowa-0.99-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6University of Wisconsin2.240.3%1st Place
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3.17Northwestern University1.930.2%1st Place
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3.94University of Michigan1.400.1%1st Place
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4.26Grand Valley State University1.180.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Toledo-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.97Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Notre Dame0.450.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 30.9% | 24.2% | 19.6% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 20.1% | 24.7% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Austin Haag | 13.8% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Liam Walz | 11.7% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Drew Blackburn | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 24.5% | 20.0% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 7.9% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 2.9% |
| Peter Pillari | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 7.2% |
| Michael Stone | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 19.4% | 19.2% | 10.1% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 18.4% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.