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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.18+3.54vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.40+2.31vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.84+2.22vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.24-1.36vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.93-1.89vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.24-1.65vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota0.39-0.96vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-0.09-2.19vs Predicted
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10University of Iowa-0.99-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Grand Valley State University1.180.1%1st Place
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4.31University of Michigan1.400.1%1st Place
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5.22Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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2.64University of Wisconsin2.240.3%1st Place
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3.11Northwestern University1.930.2%1st Place
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4.35University of Notre Dame1.240.1%1st Place
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6.04University of Minnesota0.390.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Toledo-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.99University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Austin Haag | 9.0% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 6.7% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 3.8% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 30.4% | 25.0% | 18.0% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 24.3% | 22.3% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 10.7% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Cailin Oakes | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 20.4% | 21.3% | 9.1% |
| Drew Blackburn | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 29.2% | 21.8% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 17.2% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.