← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University1.93+2.23vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan1.40+2.28vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin2.24-0.29vs Predicted
-
4Grand Valley State University1.18+0.44vs Predicted
-
5University of Notre Dame1.24-0.68vs Predicted
-
6University of Minnesota0.39-0.01vs Predicted
-
8University of Toledo-0.09-1.15vs Predicted
-
9Marquette University0.84-3.81vs Predicted
-
10University of Iowa-0.99-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.23Northwestern University1.930.2%1st Place
-
4.28University of Michigan1.400.1%1st Place
-
2.71University of Wisconsin2.240.3%1st Place
-
4.44Grand Valley State University1.180.1%1st Place
-
4.32University of Notre Dame1.240.1%1st Place
-
5.99University of Minnesota0.390.0%1st Place
-
6.85University of Toledo-0.090.0%1st Place
-
5.19Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
-
7.99University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryder Easterlin | 21.5% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Haag | 9.3% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 30.1% | 23.3% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Liam Walz | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 11.5% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Cailin Oakes | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 21.7% | 20.2% | 9.0% |
| Drew Blackburn | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 17.5% | 30.9% | 20.2% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 3.8% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 16.7% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.