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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+4.41vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.77+5.01vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+4.83vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.89vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+2.86vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.39+6.21vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37+1.37vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.60-0.60vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.73-2.17vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24-0.89vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.05+2.38vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.00vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.56-5.52vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.71-3.39vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.60-3.68vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.21-3.09vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-10.01vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.26-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.83Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.86Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.21Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.4Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.83Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.11Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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13.38University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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13.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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7.48Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.61Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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11.32Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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12.91Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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15.4Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 12.5% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 8.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Colin Richards | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 15.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 12.6% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Walter Florio | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 10.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Baskin | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 16.6% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.