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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+6.94vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+5.09vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.31vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+4.25vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.24+0.17vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.48+1.91vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-0.21vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.56-0.49vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24-0.20vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.21+3.00vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.60+0.52vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.39+0.47vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.71-2.27vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.77-7.40vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-2.31vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.60-8.50vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.26-1.41vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.05-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.94Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.17Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.91Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.51Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.8Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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13.0Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.52Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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12.47Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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10.73Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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12.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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7.5Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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15.59Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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13.13University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.7% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 11.5% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 8.2% |
| Walter Florio | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 9.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Baskin | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 46.3% |
| Colin Richards | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.