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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+6.20vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+6.69vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+4.91vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+1.14vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.71+5.98vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.16vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.70+4.17vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.53-0.24vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.77-2.17vs Predicted
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103.77-2.87vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.39+1.48vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.60-4.12vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.60-1.61vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.48-6.17vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.21-2.10vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.24-6.99vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.96vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.26-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.91Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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5.14Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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10.98Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.76Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.83Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.133.770.1%1st Place
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12.48Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.88Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.83Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.9Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.01Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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13.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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15.5Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.8% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Florio | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.0% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 9.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 5.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 12.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 13.6% |
| Alexander Baskin | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.