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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+11.39vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+5.64vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.70+8.31vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+2.86vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.56+2.54vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37+2.40vs Predicted
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73.77-0.16vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48-0.16vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.53-1.29vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.69vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.91-0.69vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.60-0.22vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.71-2.16vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.24-8.97vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-2.25vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.77-9.07vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.21-3.97vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.26-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.39Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.64Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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11.31University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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6.86Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.54Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.4University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.843.770.1%1st Place
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7.84Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.71Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.31Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
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11.78Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.84Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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5.03Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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12.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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6.93Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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13.03Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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15.48Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 10.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Josh Dochoda | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 6.5% |
| Walter Florio | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.1% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 12.9% |
| Alexander Baskin | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 16.9% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.